If mail in ballots were 90/10 for Biden, the probability of 130k of them all being for Biden is literally astronomical, as in more atomic particles in the universe.
If something has a 10% probability (AV for Trump), the probability of it happening twice in a row is 1/100, three times 1/1000, etc. 130,000 times? Pretty low odds. Imagine one black marble with 9 others and picking the black one 130k times in a row
If mail in ballots were 90/10 for Biden, the probability of 130k of them all being for Biden is literally astronomical, as in more atomic particles in the universe.
If something has a 10% probability (AV for Trump), the probability of it happening twice in a row is 1/100, three times 1/1000, etc. 130,000 times? Pretty low odds. Imagine one black marble with 9 others and picking the black one 130k times in a row
Hat tip to u/dukeofdoorcounty for the above explanation
It’s about the same probability of me hitting a tight group of 3” at 5 miles away with an AR with only iron sights.